271 DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY
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UPDATE: Harris leads Democratic Primary forecast for first time in 6 months.
Your source for upcoming US election forecasts, candidate profiles, and in-depth political analysis.
Updated Feb. 5, 2026
🔎 RESULT ANALYSIS
Recapping the 2024 election results and what they mean for the future.
A republican sweep
How broad gains across key states delivered a governing trifecta.
The 2024 presidential election resulted in a decisive Republican victory, with the party claiming both chambers of Congress and the White House. Rather than hinging on a single recount-level contest, the outcome reflected a broader realignment in the electoral map, as Republicans converted multiple battlegrounds and limited Democratic paths to victory.
🗳️ midterm outlook
Tracking the matchups that will shape the balance of power.
House in the Balance
Where control of the lower chamber hinges on redistricting and razor-thin margins.
The battle for the House is shaping up as a fight decided long before voters head to the polls. A handful of districts could determine which party controls the lower chamber, and the agenda in Washington, for years to come. The fight for the gavel is already underway, and every race carries outsized stakes for the next two years of American politics.
The Senate Showdown
Every seat counts in a chamber where a single defection could tip the power.
The 2026 Senate map is tighter than a drum; each race carries outsized influence. From Roy Cooper’s entry in North Carolina to looming primary drama in Texas, both parties are testing their ground in key states. Fulton County insiders say the 120th Congress could be decided before most Americans have heard of their candidates.
Governors with clout
Governors control the maps, the message, and the momentum.
Both Democrats and Republicans currently hold 25 governorships, but look under the surface and these races are another strategic front. Governors in key states like Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan are not just potential swing picks, they’re the architects of future district lines and can shape turnout laws before the midterms start.
🏁 primary season
Way-too-early predicitions of the next presidential primary contests.
a decision for democrats
Potential presidential contenders are already testing the waters.
No front-runner has emerged yet, but the map's already in motion. Newsom, Buttigieg, Harris, and Ocasio-Cortez are quietly doing the retail politics tour, laying infrastructure in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina before anyone’s even entered the race.
GOP reset in progress
With Trump fading, Republicans hunt for a coalition-keeper.
The 2028 Republican primary isn't a replay; it’s a total reconstruction. With Donald Trump’s appeal waning in the party’s core, emerging figures are testing their ground. Can someone else forge that rare combination of populist fire, emotional resonance, and operational muscle? Right now, the GOP is quietly asking: who’s next?
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