● Senate Outlook Updated — Watch AK, GA, ME, MI, NC

● House — Democrats' odds fall 13%!

● Upcoming Races — Texas Republican Senate Primary Runoff May 28th!

● Primary Season 2026 — Check the calendar for upcoming races!

● Breaking — Virginia Supreme Court overturns new congressional map.

Republican Primary

The Contenders

48%

40%

8%

4%

Other Prospective Candidates

Race Tracker

Interactive Forecasts

The battle for the House will be decided long before voters head to the polls. A handful of districts will determine which party controls the lower chamber — and the agenda in Washington — for the next two years.

View House Forecast →

In the Senate each race carries an outsized influence. From Roy Cooper's entry in North Carolina to primary drama in Texas, the 120th Congress could be decided before most Americans have heard of their candidates.

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Both parties hold 25 governorships, but these races are a critical strategic front. Governors in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan aren't just swing picks — they're the architects of future district lines and turnout laws.

View Gubernatorial Forecast →

Primaries & Specials

From Texas to California, primaries and special elections are being hotly contested by both parties. These high-stakes contests offer early clues about voter enthusiasm, party strategy, and the fight for control in Washington.

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Democratic Primary

No front-runner has emerged yet, but the map is already in motion. Newsom, Buttigieg, Harris, Pritzker, and Ocasio-Cortez are quietly laying infrastructure in early states before anyone has officially entered the race.

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Republican Primary

The 2028 Republican primary is a total reconstruction. With Trump's appeal waning, emerging figures are quietly testing whether anyone can forge that rare combination of populist fire, emotional resonance, and operational muscle.

View Republican Primary →