● Senate Outlook Updated — Watch MT, OH, PA

● House: 25 Competitive Seats Rated

● Primary Season 2026 — Filing Deadlines Begin

Analysis

Reading the Map: An Analysis of Louisiana v. Callais and the Future of the VRA

The Supreme Court is on the verge of rolling back a cornerstone of voting rights law. Aidan Jonas breaks it down in a piece for Bruin Political Review.

Aidan Jonas

21 Mar 2026

Racial gerrymandering, the Voting Rights Act, and a Supreme Court with a 6-3 conservative majority — I dig into one of the most consequential redistricting cases in a generation. The piece examines the legal arguments on both sides, the ideological posture of the current Court, and why the outcome could fundamentally reshape how congressional districts are drawn across the country.

Read the full analysis at Bruin Political Review →

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U.S. Capitol building at night — gerrymandering and redistricting battle for House control 2026

The Gerrymandering War

Donald Trump sparked a gerrymandering arms race that his party appears close to losing.

Democratic donkey and Republican elephant — Hispanic voter shift in 2024 presidential election

The Hispanic Shift in 2024

The 2024 presidential election saw Hispanic voters make a dramatic shift to the right. The result was catastrophic for the Democrats.

Relative Battlegrounds in 2024

Relative Battlegrounds in 2024

This graphic puts each state's shift in the context of how the rest of America shifted in each presidential election from 2008 to 2024. Select a battleground state to see how it voted in relation to the rest of the nation.

Race Tracker

Interactive Forecasts

The battle for the House will be decided long before voters head to the polls. A handful of districts will determine which party controls the lower chamber — and the agenda in Washington — for the next two years.

View House Forecast →

In the Senate each race carries an outsized influence. From Roy Cooper's entry in North Carolina to primary drama in Texas, the 120th Congress could be decided before most Americans have heard of their candidates.

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Both parties hold 25 governorships, but these races are a critical strategic front. Governors in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan aren't just swing picks — they're the architects of future district lines and turnout laws.

View Gubernatorial Forecast →

Primaries & Specials

From Texas to California, primaries and special elections are being hotly contested by both parties. These high-stakes contests offer early clues about voter enthusiasm, party strategy, and the fight for control in Washington.

View Primary Tracker →

Democratic Primary

No front-runner has emerged yet, but the map is already in motion. Newsom, Buttigieg, Harris, Pritzker, and Ocasio-Cortez are quietly laying infrastructure in early states before anyone has officially entered the race.

View Democratic Primary →

Republican Primary

The 2028 Republican primary is a total reconstruction. With Trump's appeal waning, emerging figures are quietly testing whether anyone can forge that rare combination of populist fire, emotional resonance, and operational muscle.

View Republican Primary →