💣 From the war room
Your must-read rundown of trends, forecasts, and political chess moves.
Your must-read rundown of trends, forecasts, and political chess moves.
August 10, 2025
Gavin Newsom promised to fight fire with fire. Texas Republicans are carving up their state to crush Democrats, and Newsom made it sound like California would punch back just as hard. But when the moment came, he folded like Chuck Schumer in a budget standoff.
August 7, 2025
The 2026 midterms are still 15 months away, but the latest CNBC poll just gave Democrats a reason to feel bullish: a +5 lead on the generic congressional ballot. In a political environment where Republicans control the House by a razor-thin margin, that’s not just encouraging — it’s a flashing red warning for the GOP across every battleground in 2026.
August 6, 2025
For months, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has been conspicuously quiet, no major speeches, no viral committee takedowns, no national TV barnburners. Meanwhile, Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg are working overtime on the national stage, hopping battleground states, feeding cable hits, and subtly road-testing stump lines.
July 31, 2025
After months off the grid, Vice President Kamala Harris has reemerged with a full-throttle media blitz built around her new memoir, a behind-the-scenes look at the 2024 presidential election. The rollout isn’t just about book sales; it’s an image reset, offering her version of campaign history while reminding Democrats she’s still a national player.