291 DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY
Senate Forecast
Updated Jan. 16, 2025
The Senate is likely going to have a Republican majority.
291 DAYS UNTIL ELECTION DAY
Updated Jan. 16, 2025
The Senate is likely going to have a Republican majority.
Each race has been carefully evaluated and characterized according to our forecasted results. View the full breakdown below.
Below are the five seats that will make or break who holds the Senate majority in the next Congress. Each of these races has been assigned a "Lean" rating in our Senate Forecast.
Democrats need to retain every seat they currently hold, then flip an additional four of the states below to regain Senate control. The last time they flipped that many seats in one cycle was in 2008, when they built a 60-seat, fillibuster-proof mega-majority in the biggest wave for their party in the modern era of politics.